Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Business Recorder Column July 16, 2019

Fiascos galore

Rashed Rahman

Prime Minister Imran Khan has ordered the setting up of a probe commission to look into the Reko Diq debacle in the case filed against Pakistan by the Tethyan Copper Company Pty Ltd (TCC) before the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). The dispute alludes to the TCC case that after investing $ 220 million in exploration and preparatory activities in the Reko Diq project, its application for a mining licence was rejected by the then Balochistan government in 2011. Subsequently, then Chief Justice of Pakistan (CJP) Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry’s Supreme Court (SC) declared the contract between the Balochistan government and TCC against existing laws governing such projects and was therefore illegal and void ab initio. TCC went to the ICSID with a damages claim of $ 8.5 billion. It has now been awarded $ 5.97 billion that includes $ 4.08 billion as penalty, $ 1.87 billion interest, and the balance for legal costs incurred by TCC.
The government went into a huddle after the ICSID award was announced on July 14, 2019 to see what, if any, remedies lay within its grasp. Short of the probe commission announcement though, the government seems at sea on the issue. It is premature to assess the makeup and terms of reference of such a commission if and when it is set up. Meanwhile, the only available straw to clutch at was the statement by William Hayes, chairman of TCC, that the consortium would be willing to work towards a negotiated settlement. It should be kept in mind that the award is not only the biggest in ICSID’s history, it is equivalent to the IMF loan the government has recently obtained.
Pakistan had argued before the ICSID in its defence that the TCC agreement had been obtained by the consortium through bribery and corruption. However, as our present drive against alleged corruption is showing, such charges are easier to bandy about than prove. The ICSID did not lend an ear to this unproved allegation of Pakistan and found for TCC. It is not without irony that Attorney General Anwar Mansoor’s office responded to the development by reiterating Pakistan welcomes all foreign investors. Not just that, his office described the Reko Diq gold/copper site as the “collective resource” of the people of Balochistan and Pakistan. Balochistan province has a 25 percent share in the project, with the remaining 75 percent going to the federal government and TCC. Of that 25 percent, how much would the people of Balochistan in general, and the people of Chaghai where the project is located specifically, benefit is up in the air if not conspicuous by its absence.
This should not surprise us as the history of the exploitation of Balochistan’s mineral resources is full of such injustices. Sui gas has fuelled industry, commerce and households throughout Pakistan since it was discovered in the early 1950s, but vast tracts of Balochistan still cry out for gas. Even the earlier Saindak gold/copper project was handed over to a Chinese company that has been busily exporting these minerals back home, completely ignoring the project’s thrust to set up a copper refining plant to add value for Pakistan to the raw minerals. Not a single local denizen is employed in Saindak, a pattern that informs any and all Chinese projects in Pakistan, including CPEC. So Saindak not only gives a pittance (2 percent) to Balochistan, it deprives the province of transfer of technology in the shape of the envisaged refinery and the value addition from it, not to mention the absence of any local employment, let alone skills training.
Our penchant for inadequately protecting our national interests in contracts with foreign investors is a constant in our history. The PPP government in power from 2008-13 sought to meet the major power shortage inherited from Musharraf’s regime in the short term by setting up Rental Power Plants until permanent capacity came on line. As part of this war footing approach to the yawning power gap, it engaged a ship-based power plant docked at Karachi. That contract too was terminated by CJP Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry’s SC in 2012. Now Karkey, the Turkish company that owned the ship-based Rental Power Plant, has been awarded $ 900 million in damages for breach of contract against Pakistan. Naturally, this episode left a bad taste in the mouth as far as our friend Turkey was concerned, and arguably queered the pitch for foreign investment.
One is at a loss to know whether this track record of blunders is because we lack expertise in international commercial law or is owed to vested interests that do not give a fig for national interest. Whatever the cause, the country has suffered financial penalties, loss of foreign investor confidence, and a bad name globally as a result. The impact of the TCC award for the struggling economy can only be imagined. As of now, the best bet for Islamabad is a compromise with TCC, but the latter will probably extract its pound of flesh in the bargain.
The Karkey and Reko Diq fiascos also point to the unforeseen consequences of judicial hyper-activism that became the hallmark of the restored CJP Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry and later CJP Saqib Nisar. Judges have not only to resist the temptation to see themselves as national messiahs, but also, in the light of experience, return to the time-honoured principle of judicial restraint that not only upholds the trichotomy of power in our constitutional construct, but refrains from rushing into areas such as the executive and parliament’s remit, where even angels fear to tread.






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