Friday, March 29, 2019

Business Recorder Editorial March 29, 2019

Persuading the Taliban

Prime Minister (PM) Imran Khan in an interaction with media on March 25, 2019, related an intriguing piece of information. He said that he had cancelled a scheduled meeting with the Taliban in Islamabad due to concerns expressed by the Afghanistan government. However, he did not clarify when and with which Taliban representatives this aborted meeting had been fixed. It may be recalled that media reports in February 2019 spoke of a planned meeting with the Taliban in Pakistan after the last round of talks between the US and the Taliban in Doha, Qatar. In fact there was speculation at the time that the US Special Representative leading the Doha talks, Zalmay Khalilzad, may also meet the Taliban since he was present at the time in Islamabad. There was a statement put out by the Taliban on February 17, 2019, a day before a delegation of the group was supposed to arrive in Islamabad to meet PM Imran Khan and possibly Zalmay Khalilzad and his delegation officials. The statement said that the Taliban delegation was unable to travel because of sanctions by the US and the UN. Whether, however, that was the real reason or an excuse to avoid talks in Islamabad that the Taliban may have felt would subject them to a lot of pressure to come to the negotiating table with the Afghan President Ashraf Ghani’s government, which they have steadfastly refused to do, calling the Afghan government a US puppet, is not known. So while they have engaged with the US in Doha in a number of rounds of talks that laid down the bare outline of a possible solution to the long running Afghan war, comprising the withdrawal of foreign (largely US) troops on the one hand and guarantees that Afghan soil would never again be allowed to be used to attack the US or its allies ever again (a la 9/11) on the other, the Taliban have not budged an inch on the demand that they hold talks with the Ashraf Ghani government.

PM Imran Khan struck a hopeful note when he suggested an interim setup in Kabul to hold inclusive general elections in the war torn country in which all stakeholders, including the Taliban, should participate. Let such an election decide who is to rule in Afghanistan after the departure of the US and other foreign troops, was Prime Minister Imran Khan’s message. However, he immediately applied a dampener on the very hopes he sought to arouse by stating he did not know how long such a process would take to implement. If the Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaaf government’s and the establishment’s statements vis-à-vis Afghanistan for some time are kept in view, it would seem that Pakistan is wedded to persuading the Taliban to enter into talks with the President Ashraf Ghani administration. PM Imran Khan too quoted the US officials, including President Donald Trump, as having come round to the view that only Pakistan can persuade the Taliban to accede to broader talks that would include the Ashraf Ghani administration and that the Americans were now pleased that Pakistan was making efforts in this direction. Critics in Pakistan of the government and the establishment point to the similarities in the narrative of Pakistan regarding persuading the Taliban and the failure to act against non-state actors that recently brought Pakistan and India to the brink of war. Whether such a comparison holds water or not, there seems to be a convergence across the board in Pakistan that the days of proxy wars have come to an end and groups that threaten the peace of the region because of such activities must be reined in. Of course the Taliban are a different and rather more difficult kettle of fish. Nevertheless, Pakistan must realize that its interests now lie in nudging the Taliban to the negotiating table with the Ghani government if Afghanistan, Pakistan and the region are to return to peace, normality and progress.

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