Friday, June 15, 2018

Business Recorder Editorial June 15, 2018

Bajwa’s hope

COAS General Qamar Javed Bajwa led a high powered military-civil delegation to Kabul on the first day of the temporary ceasefire announced by the Afghan government and Taliban. According to an ISPR statement after the day-long visit was over, General Bajwa had meetings with Afghan President Ashraf Ghani, Chief Executive Abdullah Abdullah, and US commander General John Nicholson. Although not much detail was provided in the ISPR statement, it said the discussions dealt with the whole array of military, security and other issues of concern to the two countries. General Bajwa expressed the hope that the ceasefire would pave the way for an end to the protracted conflict. It is widely believed that Pakistan facilitated the ceasefire as part of further confidence building measures on the cards. The recently agreed Afghanistan-Pakistan Action Plan for Peace and Stability (APAPPS) still awaits the creation of five working groups, the most important being military and intelligence, to steer the relationship out of the vicious cycle of outrage, distrust and recrimination. General Bajwa during his talks attempted to dispel Afghan concerns about the fencing of the Afghanistan-Pakistan border by explaining it was meant to prevent terrorist attacks from across the border and not to erect walls between the people of the two countries.
The sweet talk in Kabul by both sides notwithstanding, General Bajwa’s sentiments appear more the triumph of hope over reality than the glad tidings they imply. There are still many obstacles to the temporary ceasefire (with all its exceptions and caveats) triggering peace and reconciliation in the war-torn country. If proof of this were needed, it was provided on the very first day of the ceasefire while General Bajwa was visiting. Clashes were reported across Afghanistan, with the governor of the northern Kohistan district in Faryab province killed in an ambush along with eight others. His district was reportedly then run over by the Taliban. Intense fighting was reported from Faryab and Sari Pul provinces, with unspecified casualties. Similar reports were received from Ghazni. Whether these attacks across the country are owed to the ceasefire-excluded groups such as the Haqqani Network and Islamic State or factions within the Taliban ranks who no longer adhere to the Quetta Shura’s directions at all times and places is not clear. But the fighting once again highlights the fragility and precariousness of even announced temporary ceasefires in the troubled country. The Taliban leader, Haibatullah Akhundzada, reiterated his demand for direct talks with the US, which the latter consistently refuses to countenance, advising its adversary to instead talk to the Kabul government. This is unacceptable to the Taliban, who have dubbed the Ashraf Ghani government a ‘puppet’. Haibatullah Akhundzada also warned leading clerics who had issued a fatwa the other day condemning suicide bombings as against the teachings of Islam that they were being used by the occupying forces and Kabul. This warning could have a chilling effect on the clerics supporting peace and reconciliation since their meeting at which the fatwa was issued was bombed.

Pakistan of late has been bending its back to appear reasonable, rational, and a peacemaker vis-à-vis Afghanistan. But all these efforts continue to run aground again and again on the rock of the accusation that it still harbours the Taliban and other insurgent Afghan groups and allows them to operate from Pakistani soil. Pakistan denies this, but the world tends to take this denial with a huge pinch of salt. It has become the bugbear of relations with the US too after President Donald Trump came to office. Difficult as the task is, Pakistan must adhere to a policy that is in its best interests, i.e. using whatever leverage it possesses to bring the combatants in Afghanistan to the negotiating table. Recently, the US authorities have been making sympathetic noises regarding Pakistan’s core concerns, which translate into the immediate problem of terrorist attacks from across the border by the displaced Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), and the longer term concern about having a friendly regime in Kabul to ensure the security of its western border. The ceasefire may only have been an attempted temporary balm, and not consistently successful, but hopefully it would act as the first drops of rain onto the scorched earth of Afghanistan, with the possibility of peace providing huge dividends to the war weary populace, stability for Pakistan and the region, and the closure of a bloody chapter in history.

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