Brexit conundrum
Britain’s House
of Lords yesterday gave final approval to a law that would force Boris Johnson,
who seems to have run out of road before he completes even the first two months
of his premiership, to delay Brexit. This development constitutes a fresh
setback for the prime minister who is struggling to call an early election. The
Brexit saga continues to have Britain in its grip and shows no signs of letting
go any time soon. Theresa May was ousted as prime minister when the deal she
had agreed with the EU on the terms on which the UK would leave the bloc failed
to convince her own Conservative Party let alone the opposition. Enter Boris
Johnson as her replacement and things rapidly went from bad to worse. In his
impatience to get Brexit done and over with, the new prime minister moved to
prorogue parliament to allow him ostensibly to renegotiate a Brexit deal but,
in the eyes of critics from within his Conservative Party as well as the
opposition led by Labour, to crash out by the deadline of October 31, 2019
without a deal. The revolt within Conservative ranks is fuelled by concerns
regarding the economic disruption that could affect the UK’s exports to the EU
to the tune of $ 16-18 billion per annum, and shortages of food, fuel and
medicines in the event of a no-deal Brexit. But what has compounded Boris
Johnson’s woes was his attempt to rewrite the unwritten rules of the British
parliamentary system (the country has no written constitution and the political
system runs on conventions, precedents, etc). By attempting to prorogue
parliament till he could implement his agenda of crashing out of the EU on
October 31, Boris Johnson alienated his own party’s stalwarts, the opposition
as a whole, and vast numbers of the public who may or may not have been active
on the Brexit front but were appalled by what was interpreted as the Johnson
‘coup’. The result has been that an unlikely ‘coalition’ of the Conservative
Party rebels and the opposition entire has taken control of parliament’s agenda
even before the prorogation decision kicks in, and have successfully moved a
Bill against a no-deal Brexit. The Bill has already been passed by the Commons.
Johnson’s response to the stymying of his ‘crash-bang’ approach to Brexit has
been to expel the rebels from the Conservative Party and ‘threaten’ an early general
election by October 15, a move unlikely to succeed since it requires a two
thirds majority in the Commons, a target way beyond a prime minister whose
prorogation of parliament and possible no-deal Brexit was voted against by 329
to 300 votes. Now with his majority lost, a no-deal Brexit by October 31
virtually dead in the water, and a general election unlikely before November
since the main opposition party, Labour, is resisting a return to the electorate
so soon and certainly not before Johnson has been perfectly stripped of all
credibility over his Brexit fiasco. That, Labour’s socialist leader Jeremy
Corbyn believes, would boost Labour’s chances (and perhaps the rest of the
opposition’s) in the polls. Piqued by Labour’s ‘game-plan’, Johnson has
therefore remarked that ‘never in history has there been an opposition party
that has been given a chance to have an election and has turned it down. I
think that they are making an extraordinary political mistake.’
Meanwhile the
noises emanating from Brussels firmly reject any notion of fresh negotiations
over Brexit. This has further eroded Boris Johnson’s argument he would go for
fresh negotiations with the EU. Observers of the convulsions Britain has been
going through since the Brexit referendum, which some have characterized as
Britain ‘sleepwalking into an own goal’ given the wide range of economic and
social advantages the 46-year-old membership provided, are now bemusedly
treated to the spectacle of Boris Johnson’s failed gyrations and the ensuing
fallout. Truly, the saga of Brexit still plays on, to the detriment of Britain’s
future and serving as a reminder of what havoc the diseases of populism,
English nationalism, and even perhaps an overhang of imperial nostalgia have
reduced Britain to.
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