Saturday, September 30, 2023

Health bulletin 3

 Both my eyes have now been operated on. Healing process in motion. I am back at work but with reduced capacity because of eye strain. Thanks to all the friends who have so solicitously asked after me, wished me well and a speedy recovery. This response shows all is not lost. Humanity, empathy exists, and must provide the foundation of an effective progressive struggle. 

Rashed Rahman

Editor, Pakistan Monthly Review (PMR) (link: pakistanmonthlyreview.com)

Director, Research and Publication Centre (RPC) (on Facebook)

Wednesday, September 20, 2023

Health bulletin 2

 My right eye cataract operation seems to be healing well. The left eye is now scheduled to have the same operation on September 26, 2023.

Rashed Rahman

Editor, Pakistan Monthly Review (PMR) (link: pakistanmonthlyreview.com)

Director, Research and Publication Centre (RPC) (on Facebook)

Saturday, September 16, 2023

Health bulletin

 I have had cataract surgery on my right eye and am resting at home. If the healing process unfolds as expected, I may have similar surgery on my left eye next week. Friends wishing to contact me can do so on my cells: +92 302 8482737 (operates WhatsApp) or +92 333 4216335 or on email: rashed.rahman1@gmail.com

Rashed Rahman

Editor, Pakistan Monthly Review (PMR) (link: pakistanmonthlyreview.com)

Director, Research and Publication Centre (RPC) (on Facebook)

Tuesday, September 5, 2023

Business Recorder Column September 5, 2023

Have the people risen?

 

Rashed Rahman

 

Arriving on the back of backbreaking inflation across the board, the increased tariff in electricity bills has proved the proverbial last straw. Citizens, joined if not led by traders, have been protesting the inflated electricity bills through the length and breadth of the country. Fortunately, despite the seething anger in the protestors’ hearts, barring one or two incidents of DISCOs offices and personnel being subjected to rough treatment, the protests have been peaceful. And impressive. One has only to glance at the pictures in the media of city after city resembling the quiet of a graveyard as far as its usually bustling, bursting at the seams markets are concerned.

The protesters’ demands make eminent sense. Electricity tariffs have gone through the roof, taxes imposed through electricity bills now constitute 40 percent of the total, and the popular perception is, backed by expert studies, that consumers are being made to pay through the nose for long standing misgovernance, inefficiency (exorbitant line losses, electricity theft, etc), and, the crowning glory – installed capacity payments to the Independent Power Producers (IPPs) enshrined in their contracts irrespective of how much electricity is actually generated and bought from them. Those railing against free electricity quotas for power workers and other privileged sections should reflect on the matter to gain some perspective. Even if all the free electricity quotas are withdrawn (through monetisation, etc), this will only result in a relatively paltry saving of Rs 24 billion per annum. Contrast this with the estimated capacity charges expected for 2024 of Rs two trillion (Rs 1.3 trillion of this earmarked for idle power plants), and the true nature of the crisis will become apparent.

The power sector too has fallen prey (as has the industrial sector) post-1977 to the clamour for privatisation under our embrace (along with the world at large) of the neoliberal paradigm that militates against the public sector as inefficient, riddled with corruption, etc, as opposed to the new knight in shining armour: the invisible hand of the market. In Pakistan’s case though, the ‘invisible’ part does not apply since the results of this new fundamentalism in economic thought are transparently before us. Wholesale privatisation from General Ziaul Haq’s military regime onwards has resulted (with only a handful of exceptions) in the privatised industries being disposed off by selling the plant and machinery as scrap and using the land to develop real estate. This de-industrialisation process has continued since 1977, to the detriment of industrial progress since not a single large industry has come up in all these years.

The privatisation mantra has not spared the power sector either. WAPDA was reduced to managing hydel power and the distribution of electricity was handed over to DISCOs (Karachi Electric was privatised wholly). In the early 1990s, during the second Benazir Bhutto government, the undeniable power supply deficit, reflected in extensive load shedding, was sought to be overcome by inviting private power producers to set up generation plants with guaranteed capacity payments irrespective of the actual offtake of electricity. Critics who tried to draw attention to the adverse consequences of such guaranteed capacity payments irrespective of electricity offtake were fobbed off with the contention that Pakistan not being an investment destination of choice because of our internal and regional instability, there was no other way to attract private capital for the power sector. By 2007, because of the neglect of the changing supply and demand equation in the power sector by the General Pervez Musharraf military regime, load shedding returned with a vengeance. The solution, till 2015, was sought in a wholesale garage sale to IPPs, seemingly without any clear idea of likely demand over the mid- to long term. The result today is that installed capacity is at 40,000 MWs while the decrepit, rundown, neglected transmission system cannot handle more than 22,000 MWs at its peak. No effort followed the second IPPs surge with upgrading of the transmission network. Hence we are in the unenviable position today of having almost double excess installed capacity.

Ironically, as the ideas of environmental care and the replacement of fossil fuels by renewable energy sources took hold in the world in recent years, Pakistan too began (haltingly) to develop such alternative energy resources. We were already familiar with hydel, but now wind and, even perhaps more importantly, solar power began to excite the imagination of the powers that be. So much so that private solar power producers (including domestic) were incentivised by allowing them to sell their excess solar power generated to their respective DISCO through reverse metering. While on paper and as a concept the idea is very appealing (especially for a sun drenched country like ours), it had an unanticipated effect in our circumstances. For every unit of solar power sold to a DISCO by a private source, its demand from the IPPs is reduced. This means in effect that reverse metering solar power adds to the loss being incurred by the unjust capacity payments clause in the IPPs’ contracts. This cannot be described as anything but cutting off your nose to spite your face. Of such anomalies and contradictions is our governance chockful.

Citizens and traders have cried ‘Enough!’ and taken to the streets amidst strikes in the markets all over the country. The caretaker government now finds itself between a rock and a hard place. Its good intention to offer relief to consumers is dependent on the IMF’s go ahead. At the time of writing these lines, that go ahead was still awaited. Optimism on this score needs to be tempered by the track record and thinking of the IMF. If no relief (apart from the suggested staggering of charges) is available, will the people’s anger transform into civil disobedience or more according to some pundits? It is difficult to say but the lack of a political leadership for the protest movement, with a wider programme of necessary change, suggests the protests may not be sustainable. But, the jury is still out.

 

 

 

 

rashed.rahman1@gmail.com

rashed-rahman.blogspot.com

Saturday, September 2, 2023

The September 2023 issue of Pakistan Monthly Review (PMR) is out

The September 2023 issue of Pakistan Monthly Review (PMR) is out. Link: pakistanmonthlyreview.com

Contents:

1. Charles Amjad-Ali: Anti-semitism: a hypocritical epithet to cover Israel's apartheid – I.

2. Fayyaz Baqir: Forms of exploitation and struggle in Pakistan: some reflections.

3. Mir Mohammad Ali Talpur: The Rise of Baloch Nationalism and Resistance – I.

Rashed Rahman

Editor, Pakistan Monthly Review (PMR) (link: pakistanmonthlyreview.com)

Director, Research and Publication Centre (RPC) (on Facebook)

Tuesday, August 22, 2023

Business Recorder Column August 22, 2023

 Descent into madness, barbarism

 

Rashed Rahman

 

The events of August 16, 2023 in Jaranwala have evoked an unusual chorus in harmony of condemnation. And so they should. But let us attempt a balance sheet of the good and the bad during and after the mayhem visited upon the Christian community on yet another dark day in our history.

First and foremost, it is well to remind ourselves that the horror of August 16 came just two days after we celebrated, with the usual pomp and show, the 76th independence anniversary of Quaid-e-Azam Mohammad Ali Jinnah’s Pakistan. And what was this Jinnah’s Pakistan? If his August 11, 1947 speech to the Constituent Assembly is anything to go by, he argued Pakistan would be a religiously tolerant state in which all would be free to go their places of worship and practice their faith without any discrimination by the state. However, with hindsight it can also be argued that the fate that met that speech (it was suppressed for years) and the events that transpired soon after the Quaid’s passing point to the different, if not opposite direction the state of Pakistan has traversed.

First, soon after the Quaid’s passing, came the Objectives Resolution, which, in placing religion at the heart of the state effectively negated Mr Jinnah’s stated objective of what the state of Pakistan would be like. That event opened the doors, incrementally, to steering the ship of state in the direction of a religious majoritarian polity, which effectively left the religious (and ethnic and other) minorities at its mercy. Whatever space for their rights and protections survived this trend was effectively wiped out by General Ziaul Haq’s fanning the flames of religious dogmatism and extremism, whose perhaps unintended effect enveloped not just the religious minorities, but minority Muslim sects such as the Shias in its malign embrace.

That distorted Pakistan sculpted by General Ziaul Haq is what we have inherited today, and whose negative fallouts we cannot prevent nor change course in the direction of the religiously tolerant society Mr Jinnah envisaged.

Jaranwala is neither the first such atrocity against religious minorities, particularly Christians, nor, given the state of things, likely to be the last. The evil forces of bigotry and other much more mundane worldly agendas such as revenge and seizing property illegally fan the flames of forces all too ready to take ‘advantage’ of our draconian blasphemy laws. If the long Afghan wars fanned the flames of religious extremism inside Pakistan, they relied overwhelmingly on the Deobandi (minority Muslim) sect in Pakistan. But towards the closing chapters of that monumental, long running war in our immediate neighbourhood, with its unintended radicalising fallouts in the shape of our own version of the Taliban (the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan or TTP), we experienced also the rise of the majority sect, the Barelvis, as a major player. It is this sect, or rather its extremist manifestation the Tehreek Labbaik Pakistan (TLP) that was responsible for the assassination of Punjab Governor Salmaan Taseer in 2011 for defending a poor Christian woman entrapped in prison on a patently false blasphemy charge. It is also the organisation whose name more frequently than not pops up whenever an alleged blasphemy issue arises. If a report from Lahore of August 21, 2023 is to be believed, they have now expanded the circle of their unwanted attentions to members of an already beleaguered non-Muslim sect.

If all the above seems too negative, let us also look on the bright side. Following the Jaranwala outrage, there has been more than the usual ritual condemnation from the highest to the lowest in the land. Protests against the burning of churches and Christian homes in the immediate aftermath of announcements from mosques to ‘take the blasphemers and their community to task’ have taken place all over the country, but sadly exhibit the character of scattered protests, the unity on display between Muslims and Christians notwithstanding. What, one wonders, is the attitude of the overwhelming majority of citizens who are silent? Do they feel the pain of the victims and the sensitive or are they beyond such empathy by now, having been subjected to the barbarism of extremist terrorist violence in its many forms for longer than one cares to remember? Have they resultantly suffered an exhaustion of sympathy, an emptying of spirit, or a self-preservatory retreat into confining oneself to things that affect one directly, not those that affect, even brutally, others?

There are no clear answers to these vexed questions about the state Pakistanis have been reduced to after all the traumas we have suffered for longer than one cares to recall. But wait, not all is black and worthy of mourning. Muslim neighbours of the Christian households under attack or fearing its impending arrival, sheltered their Christian friends and neighbours from the madness of the mob of fanatics that arrived to wreak vengeance for the alleged blasphemy, especially women and children. This suggests all is not lost as far as humanity, rationality and good sense are concerned. Even during the madness and barbarism on display during the communal riots and massacres attending Partition, there were many such stories of friends and neighbours sheltering their threatened ‘other’, even at risk to themselves.

On this bleak juncture in our lives, can such examples lift our spirits enough to confirm our resolve to overcome the malign inheritance of General Ziaul Haq and ensure our society and state are cleansed of such manifestations of madness and mob vigilantism, an inherently irrational phenomenon? Because if we do not, even at this late hour, purge our state and society of religious extremism, terrorism and all its other effects such as intolerance, no one will be able to stop our seemingly inexorable and steep descent into barbarism.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

rashed.rahman1@gmail.com

rashed-rahman.blogspot.com

My discussion on Special TV

 Link to my discussion programme on Special TV: https://youtu.be/6RlyJQ3wleU

Rashed Rahman

Editor, Pakistan Monthly Review (PMR) (link: pakistanmonthlyreview.com)

Director, Research and Publication Centre (RPC) (on Facebook)